Global stocks have recouped Iran war losses to hit fresh records — but the shadow of Mideast conflict still looms

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- MSCI World Index rose to a fresh record high, now about 2% above its March 2 level after falling 3.29% in the week following the Iran conflict.
- Billy Leung of Global X ETFs said the rally was driven by a rapid unwind of the war‑risk premium across equities, oil, and the dollar.
- Zavier Wong of eToro noted that hedge‑fund short‑covering amplified the rally once a ceasefire was announced, but gains are already slipping as peace talks strain.
- Trump warned Iran that “lots of bombs … will start going off” if a deal isn’t reached before the ceasefire expires this week.
- Yap Fook Hien of Standard Chartered highlighted AI demand and earnings growth as the main tailwinds powering the equity bounce.
Why it matters: Institutional equity investors gain as the MSCI World Index recovers 2% above its March 2 level, while oil exporters lose premium pricing; the rapid risk‑off also fuels AI‑sector valuations, tightening market liquidity.

