Indian equities, debt, gold and US stocks: How should investors allocate money across these asset classes?

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- WhiteOak Capital Mutual Fund published a study tracking the BSE Sensex TRI, CRISIL Short Term Bond Index, MCX Gold, and S&P 500 TRI (in rupee terms) from FY2011 through FY2027 YTD as of July 2026.
- BSE Sensex TRI recorded the widest swings of the four assets, falling 22.9% in FY2020 before rebounding 69.8% in FY2021 — its best year in the period.
- CRISIL Short Term Bond Index never posted a negative annual return, with returns ranging from a 10.3% peak in FY2015 to a 4.2% trough in FY2023.
- MCX Gold in rupee terms returned 64.8% in FY2026, making it the single best-performing asset in the study that year despite an 8.3% drop in FY2015.
- S&P 500 TRI delivered a 19.6% CAGR over the period — the highest of the four asset classes — with its only losing year being FY2023 (-1.5%) and rupee movements inflating the rupee-denominated returns.
- A multi-asset portfolio allocated 25% Indian equities, 45% debt, 25% gold, and 5% US equities produced an 11.4% CAGR over the same window.
- The study notes that tilting the mix toward US equities could lift historical portfolio returns, while a debt-heavy allocation suits investors prioritizing stability over upside.
Why it matters: For Indian investors calibrating cross-border exposure, the study's data implies that a heavier allocation to US equities — which posted the highest 19.6% CAGR — could push portfolio returns meaningfully above the 11.4% baseline, while debt remains the only asset class with zero negative years in the sample.
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