Box Office: ‘Minions & Monsters’ Aims for $80 Million Over July 4th Holiday Weekend, ‘Supergirl’ Faces 60% Drop
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- Minions & Monsters targets $80 million over the five-day July 4th frame from 4,000 North American theaters, with industry projections ranging from $60 million to $90 million
- The seventh Despicable Me franchise entry tracks softer than predecessors — Minions: The Rise of Gru opened to $123 million and Despicable Me 4 to $122 million over the same holiday stretch in 2022 and 2024, respectively
- Young Washington, an Angel Studios patriotic historical drama about George Washington before the Revolutionary War, targets a strong $15 million to $20 million debut
- Supergirl faces a projected 60% second-weekend drop after a $37.1 million debut; with a $170 million budget, the Warner Bros. and DC Studios film is on track to lose $100 million to $120 million theatrically
- Toy Story 5 is expected to add $35 million to $45 million in its third weekend, having crossed $300 million domestically and $585 million worldwide after 12 days
- Industry observers note July 4th falling on Saturday could dampen overall box office as Americans opt for barbecues and fireworks celebrating the country's 250th birthday, with World Cup matches adding another distraction
- Minions & Monsters was produced for $85 million — cheaper than prior franchise entries' $100 million price tags — and expands to 59 more international territories after a $10 million opening from 10 markets last weekend
Why it matters: Universal's seventh franchise entry tracking roughly 35% below its two predecessors despite a proven July 4th launch slot signals potential audience fatigue even for reliable animated brands, while Warner Bros. absorbing a projected $100M–$120M loss on Supergirl underscores how superhero films centered on lesser-known DC heroes continue to underperform — a dual pressure point for two of Hollywood's most bankable genres heading into the rest of summer.
