Spurs Climb Out of Drop Zone; West Ham 80% to Relegate
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- Tottenham climbed out of the relegation zone with back-to-back wins under Roberto De Zerbi, moving one point clear of West Ham, who dropped in after a 3-0 loss at Brentford
- Opta's supercomputer projects West Ham at more than an 80% chance of relegation versus 19.3% for Tottenham, a dramatic swing from a week earlier when Spurs were at 59%
- West Ham must beat title-chasing Arsenal on Sunday to overtake their rivals, while in-form Leeds United — who sit second in the four-game form table — host Tottenham on Monday
- Arsenal sit below all three relegation candidates in the four-game form table, including Leeds, Tottenham and West Ham, raising questions about their title push with a first league title in over two decades on the line
- Opta projects 40 points will be needed for safety; West Ham are currently on 36 and would need to surpass the Premier League record of 42 points held by the 2002/03 West Ham side to stay up
- Tottenham face what Opta rates as the eighth-easiest run-in, including a visit to Chelsea, who have lost their last six Premier League matches, before a final-day home game against Everton
Why it matters: West Ham's run-in is brutal: Arsenal chasing a first title in over two decades, an away trip to Newcastle, then Leeds on the final day. Spurs, by contrast, face the eighth-easiest schedule and need just one win from three games to likely clear the 40-point threshold, making a first relegation since 1977 look increasingly avoidable.
