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Finance & Markets

How Anonymous Bettors Cashed In on the Iran Strike, Just Hours Before It Happened

By NYT Business · 2026-03-04
How Anonymous Bettors Cashed In on the Iran Strike, Just Hours Before It Happened
Why it matters: This incident highlights the vulnerability of prediction markets to insider trading, posing a critical challenge to their integrity and fairness for investors.
Hours before an American strike, Polymarket users placed hundreds of significant bets, each at least $1,000, predicting the imminent military action. This unusual betting activity has sparked serious concerns about potential insider trading within prediction markets, suggesting some individuals may have possessed privileged information.

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