Texas vs. Gonzaga odds, March Madness predictions: 2026 NCAA Tournament picks from proven model
Why it matters: This March Madness clash pits an underdog against a favorite, with a proven model predicting a high-scoring upset potential.
- SportsLine's Projection Model, with a strong track record on college basketball picks, has simulated the Texas vs. Gonzaga game 10,000 times.
- Gonzaga is favored by 6.5 points against Texas, with the Bulldogs boasting a 12-1 non-conference record and a first-place finish in the WCC.
- Texas advanced to the second round by upsetting BYU and is projected to have four players score 14+ points, including Dailyn Swain with 17.6 points.
- The model strongly leans towards the Over on the 147.5 total points, projecting 156 combined points and noting the Over has hit in four of the last five Saturday games for Texas and the last four matchups between these two teams.
- Graham Ike of Gonzaga is projected to be the game's leading scorer with 22.2 points, while the Bulldogs are 4-1 ATS against the Longhorns in their last five matchups.
The 2026 NCAA Tournament second-round matchup between the 11-seed Texas Longhorns and the 3-seed Gonzaga Bulldogs is drawing significant attention, with SportsLine's proven model predicting a high-scoring affair. While Gonzaga enters as a 6.5-point favorite, the model projects a combined 156 points, favoring the Over on the 147.5 total.
