Trump Scales Back US-South Korea Drills

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- Trump announced Sunday he instructed the Pentagon to "substantially reduce" US involvement in the 11-day Ulchi Freedom Shield exercises, claiming the drills were "expensive" and would send an "inappropriate and hostile" signal to North Korea, while partially attributing the decision to South Korea's refusal to assist in the "denuclearization" of Iran.
- North Korea had threatened a "new level" of nuclear deterrence against the drills, with state media calling them "a rehearsal for an invasion war," yet Trump described Kim Jong Un as "unthreatening and respectful."
- South Korean President Lee Jae Myung's office said the South would continue to "coordinate closely" with the US on "maintaining a firm combined defense posture," after The Associated Press reported Trump made the decision without consulting Seoul.
- Senator Jack Reed (D), the top Democrat on the Senate Armed Services Committee, called the move "another inane, haphazard decision," while Republican Senator Thom Tillis warned the cutback could help Russia by enabling North Korea to send more troops to fight in Ukraine.
- Ewha Womans University professor Leif-Eric Easley said the cost savings from downsizing drills are "marginal" while diplomatic benefits are "doubtful," and that Kim has "no interest" in offers to discuss scrapping North Korea's nuclear arsenal.
- Cornell professor David Silbey noted that US military forces are already overstretched, with the Navy redirecting from the Pacific to the Middle East amid the Iran war, and that the reduction "probably reflects" an inevitable drawdown.
- South Korean analyst Kim Sang-woo said Kim Jong Un is in a "very comfortable position" thanks to military technology, energy, and economic assistance from Russia, and "no longer needs the US."
Why it matters: Trump's drawdown comes as Kim Jong Un is bolstered by a deepening Russia alliance that includes North Korean troops fighting in Ukraine, meaning the scaled-back exercises may deliver no diplomatic gain while weakening deterrence and signaling to Japan, Taiwan, and the Philippines that the US is retreating from Asia.
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