Trump’s Gaza Plan Fails, West Bank Crisis Grows

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- Trump's Gaza peace plan has stalled as both Israel and Hamas refuse to disarm or withdraw first, creating a catch-22 that undermines the roadmap the administration claimed was accepted in July.
- Hamas will not disarm unless all IDF troops leave Gaza, a condition Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu cannot accept before October’s election, making the Trump-backed deal politically unviable.
- Settler violence in the West Bank has surged, with at least 18 Palestinians killed in attacks involving settlers since 2026 began, according to the United Nations, amid government-backed settlement expansion.
- Bezalel Smotrich, Israel’s finance minister and de facto West Bank authority, has legalized at least 104 settlements since 2022 to advance his goal of annexing the territory and eliminating a future Palestinian state.
- Israeli Defense Minister Katz canceled administrative detention orders for violent settlers, visited a suspect in jail, and attempted to fire IDF Central Command chief Avi Bluth after he challenged the release, signaling deep institutional support for extremist actions.
- U.S. Vice President Vance criticized the Israeli government for promoting an 'endless conflict,' suggesting growing frustration within the Trump administration over Netanyahu’s strategy.
Why it matters: The U.S. has more leverage to prevent escalation in the West Bank than in Gaza, where progress is blocked by irreconcilable demands. By tolerating settler violence and settlement expansion, Washington risks enabling a wider conflict that could collapse the Palestinian Authority and destabilize Israel’s security apparatus—undermining long-term peace efforts and increasing the cost of future diplomacy.
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