Bitcoin bear market to bottom when stoch RSI hits zero, trader says
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- Max Crypto predicted the Bitcoin bear market will end when the two-month stochastic RSI hits zero, noting this signal appeared in the 2014, 2018, and 2022 bear markets.
- Bitcoin's two-month stoch RSI measured 4.81, having dropped into oversold territory below 30 in March, matching conditions seen just before prior market bottoms.
- BitcoinHyper observed a bullish RSI divergence between BTC/USD and the S&P 500, suggesting potential for a price reversal despite macro-level market stasis.
- Osemka noted that Bitcoin’s daily RSI recently fell to 15, marking one of only six 'extremely powerful selling events' in its history, with five preceding major price reversals.
- Bitcoin returned above $64,000 this month following bullish RSI divergences across multiple timeframes, reinforcing technical signals watched by traders.
Why it matters: Traders are treating extreme RSI readings as high-conviction signals of an impending bottom, increasing the weight of technical analysis in BTC price formation. With the stoch RSI at 4.81 and prior lows at zero, a sustained drop could confirm a 2026 turnaround — or challenge a widely held pattern if it fails.
