Rocket Classic odds: Model fades Koivun, backs Spaun
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- The 2026 Rocket Classic tees off Thursday at 7 a.m. ET at Detroit Golf Club in the event's final scheduled year, with Scottie Scheffler and Rory McIlroy skipping the week
- Cameron Young is the +950 favorite at FanDuel, followed by three-time 2026 PGA winner Chris Gotterup (+1500), Xander Schauffele (+1600), and 3M Open winner Jackson Koivun (+1800)
- SportsLine's model, built by DFS pro Mike McClure, simulated the tournament 10,000 times and has a history of nailing 17 majors, including the 2026 Masters — its fifth Masters in a row
- Jackson Koivun is a golfer the model is fading: despite a 61 on Saturday at the 3M Open, the 23-year-old PGA rookie from Auburn barely cracks the model's top 10 after missing the cut at the John Deere Classic weeks earlier
- J.J. Spaun at +3300 is a model target, with four top-10 finishes this season, 20th place in the FedEx Cup standings, and two top-10s at this event in the prior three years
- The model also flagged a longshot priced around +3500 to make a run up the leaderboard, the kind of pick it built its reputation on in majors
Why it matters: With only two regular-season events left before the FedEx Cup Playoffs, the model's contrarian fade of hot-handed 3M Open winner Jackson Koivun gives bettors a sharp test of model-versus-market odds at this final Rocket Classic. Targeting J.J. Spaun at +3300 over a golfer half his odds reflects a willingness to back solid FedEx Cup form against recent headline momentum.
