Miami Tops CFP Odds; BYU, Utah Projected In — SkimNews
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- Big 12 would place BYU and Utah in the playoff if it were held today, with Texas Tech and Arizona on the wrong side of the bubble and Cincinnati, Houston and Oklahoma State still too early to call.
- Utah ranks No. 89 for schedule strength, last in the Big 12, with games at Cincinnati, versus BYU and at Arizona forming a three-game stretch that includes back-to-back tests against ranked opponents.
- Arizona remains at one loss with no victory over a ranked opponent; its No. 76 schedule strength is 14th in the Big 12, and FPI gives it less than a 50% chance to beat Texas Tech on Saturday and Utah on Nov. 14.
- Miami has a 97.4% chance to reach the CFP, the best in the country, while ranking No. 1 in scoring offense at 49 points per game; FPI still projects a close loss at Notre Dame on Nov. 7.
- SMU is 6-1 after a 59-20 win over Cal and still has Wake Forest on Nov. 14 and Notre Dame on Nov. 21 ahead; a one-loss ACC title would include top-25 wins over Wake Forest, Notre Dame and Miami.
- UCLA is undefeated after winning just three games last season, yet its film does not match the record: the Bruins rank No. 18 in total efficiency and No. 41 in offensive efficiency.
- Georgia holds the SEC’s best title-game chance at 69.2%, but its Oct. 10 win at Alabama is its only victory over a ranked opponent and its No. 34 schedule strength ranks last in the conference.
Why it matters: Miami has the highest stated playoff chance at 97.4%, while Georgia has the SEC’s best title-game chance at 69.2%. Résumé-sensitive hinges remain: Utah faces BYU, Arizona faces Texas Tech and Utah, and Notre Dame hosts Miami on Nov. 7. Those games are central to the source’s stated scenarios for moving teams among its “in,” “bubble,” “too early” and “out” categories.
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