'Sunday Night Football' prediction, odds, time: Colts vs. Chiefs picks from expert on a 31-19 roll — SkimNews
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- Kansas City opened the season with a 31-10 Monday night win over Denver, while Indianapolis fell 41-23 at Baltimore — extending the Colts' losing streak to eight straight games dating to last season.
- Patrick Mahomes, recovering from ACL and MCL injuries, threw two TDs and ran for another against Denver; Daniel Jones, returning from an Achilles injury, was held to 166 yards with one TD and one interception.
- R.J. White is leaning Under 46.5, noting the Under has hit in eight of the last 10 head-to-head matchups and nine of the past 10 Kansas City games, including each of the last six.
- The Chiefs are a 6.5-point favorite with a -306 money line at home, where they are 6-4 since the start of 2025; the Colts are 2-6 on the road since last September.
- White enters the season on a 31-19-3 ATS run on Colts-related picks, returning $1,004 to $100 players according to SportsLine, where he is the site's No. 1 NFL ATS expert.
- Kickoff is set for 8:20 p.m. ET at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium in Kansas City, Mo.
Why it matters: White's Under pick rests on a concrete trend — the Under cashing in 9 of the last 10 Kansas City games — and a specific injury reality: both starting quarterbacks are returning from ligament and Achilles surgeries that sap mobility and downfield explosiveness. Colts bettors inherit an 0-1 squad on an eight-game slide that is 2-6 on the road, while Over backers must argue against two of the sharpest Under trends in the league.
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