2026 Scottish Open odds, picks, date: Surprising predictions by golf model that's nailed 17 majors
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- The 2026 Genesis Scottish Open tees off Thursday at The Renaissance Club in North Berwick, Scotland, kicking off two straight weeks of European-flavored PGA Tour play with The Open Championship following next week
- SportsLine's model, built by DFS pro Mike McClure, has nailed 17 majors including the 2026 Masters (its fifth in a row), the 2025 PGA Championship, and the 2025 Open Championship, by simulating every PGA Tour event 10,000 times
- Scottie Scheffler is the odds board favorite at +600, followed by Rory McIlroy (+1000), Jon Rahm (+1500), and Xander Schauffele (+1800) per FanDuel Sportsbook
- The model calls for Jon Rahm to stumble, projecting he will barely finish inside the top 10, citing his missed cut at the U.S. Open, T38 at the Masters, and a prior 2022 Scottish Open where he shot 5 over and finished outside the top 50
- Wyndham Clark is flagged as a strong value at +2700 despite his U.S. Open win and no finish worse than T11 in his past five events, plus a Scottish Open record of never finishing worse than T25 with back-to-back top-11s
- Defending champion Chris Gotterup, who also won last week's John Deere Classic, is listed at +2700 on the odds board
- The model is targeting a longshot at roughly 40-1 odds, whose identity is withheld behind SportsLine's paywall
Why it matters: Bettors who followed the model have reportedly seen massive returns on its 17 nailed majors, and with defending champion Gotterup and U.S. Open winner Clark both at +2700, the model's contrarian fade of the third-favorite Rahm creates a clear divergence from the public odds board for the Renaissance Club event.
