2026 Scottish Open odds, picks, date: Surprising predictions by golf model that's nailed 17 majors
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- Scottie Scheffler leads the 2026 Genesis Scottish Open odds at +600, followed by Rory McIlroy (+1000), Jon Rahm (+1600) and Matt Fitzpatrick (+1800); the tournament begins Thursday at 2 a.m. ET at The Renaissance Club in North Berwick, Scotland, with the Open Championship following next week
- SportsLine's model, built by DFS pro Mike McClure and credited with nailing 17 majors including the 2026 Masters, simulated the Scottish Open 10,000 times and produced results the source labels 'surprising'
- Jon Rahm, the third favorite at +1600, is a golfer to fade per the model, which projects him barely inside the top 10; the source notes he missed the cut at this year's U.S. Open, finished T38 at the Masters, and shot 5 over (outside the top 50) in his last Scottish Open start in 2022
- Wyndham Clark at +2700 is flagged as a strong value play despite not getting favorite treatment; the source notes he won the U.S. Open, hasn't finished worse than T11 in his past five events, and has posted back-to-back top-11 finishes at this event
- Chris Gotterup, the defending Scottish Open champion and last week's John Deere Classic winner, sits at +2700 on the odds board
- The Genesis Scottish Open is co-sanctioned by the DP World Tour and PGA Tour, which the source notes is why Rahm is eligible, and virtually every top player is in the field
Why it matters: With virtually every top-ranked player teeing it up and the Open Championship looming a week later, bettors get a loaded field where the model's contrarian fade of Rahm (+1600, coming off a U.S. Open MC and T38 at the Masters) and value call on Clark (+2700, never worse than T11 in his last five starts) offer concrete entries distinct from the odds board's chalk — and the model backing it has hit 17 majors.
