Panthers vs. Packers prediction, odds, time: 'Thursday Night Football' picks from proven model — SkimNews
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- Carolina Panthers sit at 3-3 and lead the NFC South after a 43-13 loss to Tampa Bay, while Green Bay is 4-3 and fourth in the NFC North after a 20-17 loss to Detroit; Carolina is 2-1 on the road and Green Bay is 2-1 at home.
- Green Bay Packers are 3.5-point favorites over Carolina with a 46.5-point total for the 8:15 p.m. ET Thursday kickoff at Lambeau Field.
- SportsLine simulated the matchup 10,000 times and selected Under 46.5, which it projects at a 56% hit rate; the model is 58-51 on top-rated picks dating to 2024 and up more than $5,000 for $100 players.
- The Under 46.5 has hit in three of the last four head-to-head matchups, including last year’s 16-13 game; it also hit in three of Carolina’s last five games and each of Green Bay’s last four.
- Bryce Young has completed 59.2% of his passes for 1,712 yards, 12 touchdowns and four interceptions, while Chuba Hubbard has rushed 96 times for 459 yards, a 4.8 average and four scores.
- Jordan Love has completed 60% of his passes for 1,958 yards, 13 touchdowns and five interceptions for Green Bay.
- Matthew Golden is listed as questionable with a shoulder/foot injury for Thursday’s game.
Why it matters: For bettors, the publicly stated model-backed position is the total: Green Bay is a 3.5-point favorite but averages 20.6 points, while SportsLine’s 10,000 simulations put the Under 46.5 at 56%. Its 58-51 record adds context, but the excerpt does not disclose which spread side clears 60% in simulations.
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