Fantasy football rankings 2026: Sleepers, breakouts, busts via model that called Daniel Jones' big year

Get the Sports newsletter
Daily sports — scores, transfers, the storylines from the leagues you actually follow. Free.
- SportsLine's projection model, which simulated the NFL season 10,000 times, released 2026 Fantasy football rankings for PPR and non-PPR leagues, including named sleepers, breakouts, and busts.
- Jahmyr Gibbs tops the 2026 Fantasy football ADP at 1.40, followed by Bijan Robinson (1.90), Ja'Marr Chase (3.97), Puka Nacua (4.57), and Jonathan Taylor (5.45) in the top five.
- Josh Allen is the only quarterback going off the board in the top 35 picks, at No. 19 overall, with no other QB ranked among the top 35 on average.
- Alec Pierce is the model's top 2026 sleeper after leading the NFL with 21.3 yards per reception and posting a 47-1003-6 line for the Colts, leading to a four-year, $114 million contract extension despite an ADP of just No. 67.
- Bhayshul Tuten is forecast as a 2026 breakout after posting 386 yards and 7 touchdowns as a rookie backup; with Travis Etienne now in New Orleans, Tuten sits atop Jacksonville's depth chart at an ADP of No. 57.
- Kenneth Walker III is flagged as a 2026 bust at an ADP of No. 22, because no Kansas City back has cleared 1,000 rush yards since 2017 and Walker has missed at least one game in each of 2022, 2023, and 2024.
- Daniel Jones was the model's top-15 fantasy QB call for 2025 who finished as the QB10 (then QB17 after a Week 14 injury), part of a track record that also includes Jonathan Taylor's 2021 season, Rachaad White's 2023 breakout, and Isiah Pacheco as a 2025 bust.
Why it matters: For fantasy football drafters, the model's specific calls — targeting Alec Pierce at ADP 67, Bhayshul Tuten at ADP 57, and fading Kenneth Walker III at pick 22 — offer concrete value-pick leverage against consensus ADPs in early and mid rounds.
Ask SkimNews




