Liberty vs. Delaware prediction, odds: Week 5 college football Friday picks by proven model — SkimNews
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- Liberty Flames (3-1, three straight wins) visit Delaware Blue Hens (2-2) at Delaware Stadium in Newark, Del., on Friday at 7 p.m. ET on CBS Sports Network, opening Conference USA play for both teams.
- Liberty is a 7-point road favorite with the over/under set at 49.5, per the latest odds; the Flames won last year's meeting 59-30.
- SportsLine's Projection Model projects 57 total points across 10,000 simulations and recommends the Over 49.5, a play it rates as hitting nearly 70% of the time; the Over has cashed in seven of Liberty's last 10 games and three of its last four road games.
- Liberty QB Deshawn Purdie is completing 58.8% of passes for 779 yards, 7 touchdowns and zero interceptions, while Delaware QB Nick Minicucci is completing 57.3% for 838 yards, 5 TDs and 3 picks.
- The model also projects one side of the spread hitting more than 80% of simulations, though that specific pick is gated to SportsLine subscribers.
- SportsLine's model enters Week 5 on a 32-24 run on top-rated college football picks, returning nearly $600 for $100 players.
- Liberty is 1-1 on the road this season, while Delaware is 2-0 at home; the Blue Hens are coming off a 42-3 loss at Virginia in Week 4.
Why it matters: For bettors, the model is handing them a high-confidence Over lean (70%) alongside a spread side it rates above 80% — an unusually lopsided two-pronged projection. The 57-point simulation total sits 7.5 above the 49.5 line, a gap that reflects Liberty's 59-30 win over Delaware last season and Purdie's interception-free start fueling a confident offensive projection.
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