USA -285 Favorite Over Venezuela in WBC Final

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- Team USA opened the WBC as a -110 favorite and has tightened to -285 on the money line for Tuesday's final against Venezuela (+225), a dramatic shift from Venezuela's +900 preseason price.
- BetMGM reported that Team USA attracted over 50% of the handle to win the WBC title heading into the quarterfinals, making the Americans the sportsbook's largest liability, while Venezuela drew just 2.4% of tickets, fifth-most at the book.
- Aaron Judge (+370) leads the tournament MVP odds board, followed by teammate Roman Anthony (+600) and Bobby Witt Jr. (+850), with Venezuelan Ronald Acuña Jr. (+750) the top non-American contender.
- Maikel García (18-1) and Luis Arraez (20-1) are also in the MVP mix for Venezuela, giving the underdogs multiple long-shot candidates despite the lopsided team odds.
- Team USA is seeking its second WBC title, while Venezuela is chasing its first, needing to beat heavy underdog odds for the second straight game after also entering as a long shot in the semifinal round.
Why it matters: With USA drawing more than half the handle, sportsbooks face their largest single liability on this final, meaning a Venezuela upset would be a costly result for the books while a USA win locks in expected profit. The 510-point money-line spread signals not just a favorite but a near-mismatch, even as Venezuela still has credible MVP candidates like Acuña Jr. to keep bettors engaged.
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