Five NFL teams we're not talking about enough: Seahawks under the radar again? Packers take next step?
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- Seattle Seahawks enter 2026 as reigning Super Bowl champions at +1100 to repeat (fourth-shortest in NFL), with the article noting DVOA rated the 2025 squad the third-best Super Bowl champion ever after a 14-3 finish and three losses by a combined nine points.
- Green Bay Packers are at +1800 to win the Super Bowl after a late-season collapse triggered by Micah Parsons' torn ACL on Dec. 7, which preceded three straight losses and a blown 21-3 wild-card lead against Chicago; Parsons is eyeing an early- or mid-season return.
- Denver Broncos carry +2000 Super Bowl odds — longer than the non-playoff Lions and equal to the non-playoff Bengals — despite a 14-win season ended by Bo Nix's fractured ankle moments after a divisional-round win over Buffalo.
- Jacksonville Jaguars sit at +245 to win the AFC South and +110 to make the playoffs, with the article flagging Trevor Lawrence's late-season surge (eight straight wins before a close playoff loss to the Bills) and Liam Coen's second-year offensive system as reasons the team is being overlooked.
- New Orleans Saints are priced at +270 to win the NFC South with a 7.5-win total after closing 2025 by winning four of their last five behind rookie Tyler Shough; Chase Young posted 10 sacks and an 18.1% pressure rate (seventh in the NFL, min. 200 pass-rush snaps) in 12 games.
Why it matters: Bettors and analysts are anchoring on loud offseason moves rather than underlying roster strength, leaving measurable value on proven winners: Seattle's reigning-champion core, Denver's 14-win roster, and Green Bay's pre-injury 9-3-1 form all carry longer odds than comparable non-playoff teams like the Lions, a gap the piece frames as mispriced by the market.
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