FedEx Cup St. Jude Championship 2026 odds, picks, predictions, props: Expert fading Viktor Hovland at Memphis

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- Justin Rose returns to defend his title at TPC Southwind after winning last year's St. Jude Championship in a playoff over J.J. Spaun at 16-under, yet sits at +6500 on the FanDuel board — the same 70-1 longshot tier as Rickie Fowler, Akshay Bhatia and Maverick McNealy.
- Scottie Scheffler opens as the +480 odds-on favorite, with Rory McIlroy (+1300), Xander Schauffele (+1800) and Tommy Fleetwood (+2000) rounding out the next tier of the 2026 FedEx Cup Playoffs opener.
- Brady Kannon, a SportsLine golf handicapper with 30-plus years of experience, has called eight major winners since 2013 and nailed six PGA outright winners in 2025, including 110-1 shot Harris English at the Farmers Insurance Open.
- Kannon is fading Viktor Hovland at 33-1, citing that Hovland hasn't played a tournament in nearly a month and ranks middle-of-the-pack in Greens in Regulation, Scrambling, 450-500 yard Par 4 play and Hole Proximity over the last 24 rounds.
- Kannon has also locked in a longshot pick at higher than 150-1 whom he calls a great course fit, with his full card — including props, sleepers and golfers to avoid — available only at SportsLine.
Why it matters: Bettors leaning on public sentiment are backing Hovland off his Travelers Championship playoff win over Scheffler, but Kannon's 24-round metrics show the Norwegian ranking mid-pack in the four stat categories that typically decide scoring at TPC Southwind. With Scheffler at a short +480 and a deep longshot board stretching to 750-1, the value question for bettors isn't who wins — it's which mid-tier name is being mispriced by the market's recency bias.
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