Patriots vs. Bears prediction, odds, time: 'Thursday Night Football' picks by proven model — SkimNews
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- Soldier Field is the site of the 8:15 p.m. ET Patriots-Bears kickoff, with Chicago favored by three points and the over/under set at 50.5.
- New England Patriots came off a 26-19 win over the New York Jets, sit second in the AFC East at 4-2 and are 1-2 on the road this season.
- Chicago Bears beat the Atlanta Falcons 31-23 on Sunday, moved to 4-2 and tied the Green Bay Packers for second in the NFC North, with a 2-1 home record.
- SportsLine’s model favors Under 50.5 after 10,000 simulations, projecting 44 combined points and a 66% Under hit rate; SportsLine also reports a 58-48 record since 2024 and more than $5,000 returned on $100 stakes.
- The Under hit in New England’s 19-3 win in 2024, in five of the Patriots’ last eight games and in four of the Bears’ last five.
- Drake Maye has struggled at times in a Patriots offense averaging 22.7 points per game, tied for 18th, while the defense allows a league-fifth-fewest 18.6 points per game.
- Caleb Williams has been hampered by a hamstring injury and missed three games, throwing for 712 yards, three touchdowns and one interception; Chicago’s defense allows 19.8 points per game, sixth-best.
Why it matters: For NFL bettors, the material choice is the game total: SportsLine assigns the Under 50.5 a 66% hit rate across 10,000 simulations and projects 44 combined points, while Chicago remains a three-point favorite. The team-side spread recommendation is less accessible because the article routes readers to SportsLine for it.
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