Golden Globes Predictions: Let the Genre Games Begin for ‘Obsession,’ ‘Michael,’ ‘Wildwood’ and More — SkimNews

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- Christopher Nolan's 'The Odyssey' and Netflix's 'La Bola Negra' from Los Javis lead the drama pack, with 'La Bola Negra' having just won the People's Choice Award at TIFF and best director at Cannes.
- Amazon MGM Studios faces the trickiest sorting job of any studio, holding three plausible drama contenders — 'Project Hail Mary' with Ryan Gosling, 'I Play Rocky,' and Mahershala Ali's 'Your Mother Your Mother Your Mother' — and must decide which to push as comedy/musical to avoid splitting its own vote.
- Focus Features' possession thriller 'Obsession,' which has grossed more than $400 million worldwide, could follow the 'Get Out' and 'The Substance' comedy playbooks, but Variety suggests a drama run might better position breakout star Inde Navarrette for a best actress Oscar nom.
- Laika is pushing 'Wildwood,' a 132-minute stop-motion feature billed as the longest ever made, beyond the animated feature category and plans to submit it for best picture (drama) — a first for the Globes since they reopened top categories to animation in 2021.
- 'Michael,' the Jaafar Jackson biopic and first biopic ever to cross $1 billion worldwide, could go either drama or comedy/musical, with Variety betting on a comedy/musical run given the genre's precedent with music-driven films like 'Ray' and 'Walk the Line.'
- Denis Villeneuve's 'Dune: Part Three' held its first small-group screenings this past week with early word very positive, and is far more likely than Marvel's 'Avengers: Doomsday' (opening the same Dec. 18 day) to submit for the Globes' box office achievement category given the calendar logistics of nomination ballots going out Nov. 24.
- Robert Pattinson has four films in theaters this year — 'The Drama,' 'The Odyssey,' 'Primetime,' and 'Dune: Part Three' — with his turn as Chris Hansen in 'Primetime' looking like his clearest path to an actor (drama) nomination.
Why it matters: With the Oct. 30 submission deadline and nomination ballots due back Dec. 4, studios have just weeks to decide whether borderline films like 'Obsession,' 'Michael,' and 'Wildwood' chase drama or comedy/musical slots — and those calls will directly shape who has a viable Oscar path, especially for breakout performers like Inde Navarrette and Jaafar Jackson competing against front-runners like Julianne Moore and Andrew Scott.
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