College football national championship odds: Florida surges as CFP contender; Oregon, Mississippi State leap — SkimNews
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- Florida made the biggest odds leap of the week, jumping from +3300 to +1800 after blowout SEC wins over Auburn and Ole Miss under first-year coach Jon Sumrall, with transfer QB Aaron Philo and rushers Jadan Baugh and Duke Clark each surpassing 100 yards against the Rebels.
- Mississippi State moved to +7500 after a fourth-quarter comeback against nationally ranked Missouri, powered by Heisman candidate QB Kamario Taylor, and now faces Alabama in the second of five straight games against top-25 competition.
- Ohio State remains the title frontrunner at +470, though the source flags that four remaining games against top-15 Big Ten teams and Matt Patricia's defense — "not what it was last season" — make the path anything but comfortable.
- Oregon improved from +2500 to +2200 after backup QB Dylan Raiola led four second-half touchdown drives at USC following an injury to starter Dante Moore, validating the Ducks' investment in a backup quarterback.
- Texas and Georgia sit tied at +550, with Texas's defense recording 10 sacks (five from Colin Simmons) to strangle Tennessee in Knoxville, and Georgia pounding Oklahoma at the line of scrimmage with John Mateer forcing multiple turnovers.
- Indiana holds +1000 odds to repeat, but the Hoosiers are dealing with a high ankle sprain to lead running back Turbo Richard and have lost offensive explosiveness through four games despite a 20-game overall winning streak.
Why it matters: The simultaneous surge of long shots — Florida crashed from +3300 to +1800, Mississippi State landed at +7500 — coincides with cracks the source flags at nearly every frontrunner: Ohio State's brutal remaining Big Ten slate, Indiana losing offensive zip, and unbeaten Texas Tech failing the eye test at +4500. Conference play in October will test whether the leaders hold or whether the odds board reshuffles again.
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