Wings vs. Liberty Tuesday WNBA picks: Back New York for payback in potential playoff preview
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- Dallas Wings visit New York Liberty on Tuesday at 8 ET on ESPN, with both clubs sitting at 13-8 and tied for the fourth-best record in the WNBA — a potential 2026 playoff preview since the league seeds the top eight teams overall.
- The recommended play is New York money line plus alt Under 183.5 at +103 on FanDuel, with the writer's models projecting a final score of 89-84 (173 total points).
- Paige Bueckers is averaging 20.3 PPG and a team-leading 6.1 assists for Dallas, scoring at least 22 points in five straight games — the longest active streak in the WNBA this season and the second-longest by any player in 2026.
- Breanna Stewart erupted for a season-high 36 points on 14-of-19 shooting in Friday's 99-86 win over Minnesota, passing Angel McCoughtry for third-most 30-point games in WNBA history and matching Tina Charles for third-most 25-point games (82).
- Jessica Shepard posted her 12th double-double of the year (14 points, game-high 15 rebounds), second-most in the WNBA, while her six games with 15+ rebounds lead the league.
- New York is seeking payback for a 91-76 home loss to Dallas on May 24, when Bueckers and Azzi Fudd each scored 24 and Stewart was held to 14 on 7-of-18 shooting — and Dallas has gone 1-6 ATS in its past seven road games.
- Satou Sabally (10.4 PPG) remains out in concussion protocol after being injured in the Commissioner's Cup final, a blow to New York's depth against a Dallas team that has won three more games than last season under first-year coach Jose Fernandez.
Why it matters: The case for New York rests on three concrete inputs the writer names: a home revenge spot after the 91-76 May 24 loss, Stewart's 36-point explosion last game, and Dallas's 1-6 ATS road skid — a tangible edge rather than a vibes pick. Bettors also get +103 value on a combined money line + alt total parlay against a Dallas team on a road trip that's already 2-0.
