Jacksonville State vs. New Mexico State odds: Week 9 Wednesday college football picks by proven model — SkimNews
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- New Mexico State (3-4), under quarterback Trey Hedden and fighting to stay relevant in the conference race, hosts Jacksonville State (5-2, 3-0 in Conference USA) at Aggie Memorial Stadium in Las Cruces at 8 p.m. ET Wednesday.
- Jacksonville State is a 3-point favorite in the latest odds, with the game total set at 49.5 points.
- SportsLine Projection Model simulated the matchup 10,000 times, chose Over 49.5, projected 54 combined points and put the Over at 61%; it entered Week 9 on a 68-59 run and returned nearly $400 for $100 players.
- Caden Creel anchors Jacksonville State’s offense, whose output has been humming in Conference USA play; his dual-threat ability to extend plays with his legs stresses defenses that cannot account for everything the offense does.
- Jacksonville State has gone over the total in its last two games and four of its last five, while New Mexico State’s most recent game also finished over.
- SportsLine says one side of the spread hits in well over 50% of simulations but does not name that side in the article, directing readers to SportsLine for the selection.
Why it matters: Bettors get a fully specified over/under recommendation—Over 49.5 at a 61% model rate, a 54-point projection and a 3-point Jacksonville State favorite—while the article does not identify which spread side clears 50%. That gap makes the scoring recommendation more transparent than the spread claim.
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