Delaware vs. Western Kentucky prediction, odds: Week 9 college football Tuesday picks by proven model — SkimNews
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- SportsLine simulated Western Kentucky–Delaware 10,000 times, went Under 57.5, projected 55 combined points and found the Under hit 56% of the time.
- Western Kentucky is listed as a 1.5-point favorite over Delaware; the Hilltoppers stand at 3-4 overall and 2-1 in Conference USA, while the Blue Hens are 3-4 and 1-2.
- Nick Minicucci returned from a knee injury and threw five touchdowns in Delaware’s 61-38 blowout of Missouri State.
- Western Kentucky has gone under in its past four games against FBS opponents, while Delaware has failed to reach the total in four of seven games this season; last year’s meeting produced 51 combined points.
- SportsLine says one side of the spread covers in 60% of simulations, but the preview does not identify that side and sends readers to its site for the money-line and spread selections.
- CBS Sports Network carries the 7 p.m. ET kickoff at Houchens Industries-L.T. Smith Stadium.
Why it matters: Bettors have a disclosed 56% Under 57.5 projection, but the preview withholds which spread side carries the model’s 60% simulation rate. Bettors backing Delaware also have a concrete offensive data point in Nick Minicucci’s five-touchdown return, even though Western Kentucky is listed as the 1.5-point favorite.
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