Cowboys vs. Eagles prediction, odds, time: 'Monday Night Football' picks from proven model — SkimNews

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- NFC East is the shared frame: ESPN highlights that the division is unsettled and that Monday’s Cowboys-Eagles matchup offers either club a step toward winning the division, while the preview describes both 2-4 teams as trying to turn their seasons around.
- Dallas Cowboys are 4.5-point favorites for the 8:15 p.m. ET kickoff at Lincoln Financial Field after a 23-13 loss at Green Bay and two straight defeats; they lead the all-time series 75-59, although Philadelphia has won three of the last four meetings.
- Philadelphia Eagles have dropped four consecutive games and will be without Jalen Hurts (blood clots) and DeVonta Smith (hamstring), while Saquon Barkley (hamstring) is questionable for the NFC East matchup.
- SportsLine selected the Under 44 after 10,000 simulations, projecting 43 combined points and a 52% hit rate for the under; its top-rated NFL picks are 58-48 dating back to 2024.
- Under 44 has hit in four of the last five meetings, including both games last year; it also hit in each of Dallas’s last two games and three of Philadelphia’s past four.
- Philadelphia Eagles will again rely on Tanner McKee with Hurts out; McKee completed 26 of 45 passes for 215 yards and one touchdown against Carolina, while the offense averages 17.7 points per game, tied for 28th in the league.
- Dak Prescott completed 34 of 54 passes for 258 yards, one touchdown and two interceptions against Green Bay, and a third interception was nullified by penalty; Dallas was held to 16 and 13 points in its previous two games.
Why it matters: For bettors, Philadelphia’s offense is down to Tanner McKee with Jalen Hurts out and averages 17.7 points per game, tied for 28th. Against the 44-point total, that scoring profile underpins the model’s 52% Under projection and gives bettors a quantified basis beyond simply backing Dallas as the 4.5-point favorite.
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