Fantasy football 2026 rankings, draft prep: Model unveils QB, RB, WR, TE picks, cheat sheets, ADP, tiers — SkimNews

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- Josh Allen is the model's QB1 after finishing first or second in positional Fantasy points in each of the last six seasons, with 41 rushing touchdowns over the last three years (second most in the NFL regardless of position); his ADP sits at No. 21 overall.
- Jayden Daniels is rated higher than consensus ADP, ranked ahead of Lamar Jackson, Drake Maye and Joe Burrow, with the model projecting a bounce-back fueled by a healthier Terry McLaurin and the addition of Stefon Diggs in Washington.
- Bijan Robinson tops the RB list after rushing for 1,478 yards (fourth in the NFL) and leading all running backs in receptions (79) and receiving yards (820); he received a contract extension during camp.
- Jahmyr Gibbs is the RB2 with David Montgomery gone — in six career games without Montgomery, Gibbs averaged 152.3 scrimmage yards and 10 total touchdowns, and has topped 1,800 scrimmage yards and 18 touchdowns in each of the past two seasons.
- Puka Nacua leads the WR rankings after leading the NFL with 107.2 receiving yards per game in 2025, recording at least 72 yards or a touchdown in 15 of 16 games (the lone exception being an injury-shortened outing).
- Trey McBride is the model's TE1 after averaging 8.1 catches for 80.3 yards with 10 total touchdowns in 12 games with Jacoby Brissett as Arizona's starter, compared to 5.8 catches, 55 yards and 1 touchdown in five games with Kyler Murray.
- The SportsLine model simulated the NFL season 10,000 times and has prior-year call credibility — it correctly predicted Daniel Jones' 2025 Indianapolis breakout, Terry McLaurin's down year, Tetairoa McMillan's emergence, and C.J. Stroud's 2024 step-back.
Why it matters: Fantasy drafters weighing early-round picks get a data-tested blueprint: the model that called Daniel Jones' 2025 Indianapolis breakout, Derrick Henry's 2019 emergence, and Jonathan Taylor's 2021 monster season now has Allen, Robinson, Nacua and McBride atop each position, with a notably contrarian Daniels call that could reshape mid-round QB strategy.
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