Du Plessis vs. Usman: UFC Fight Night Odds, Expert Picks
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- Dricus du Plessis (32, ranked #2) faces Kamaru Usman (39, ranked #9) in the UFC Fight Night middleweight main event Saturday at approximately 7 p.m. ET on Paramount+ from Paycom Center in Oklahoma City.
- DraftKings lists du Plessis as a -230 favorite and Usman at +190, with the over/under for total rounds set at 3.5 (-200/+154).
- Du Plessis enters coming off a unanimous decision loss to Khamzat Chimaev at UFC 319 and holds a 23-3 career record (nine KOs, 11 submissions), with wins over former champions Robert Whittaker, Israel Adesanya, and Sean Strickland.
- Usman snapped a three-bout losing streak with a unanimous decision win over Joaquin Buckley on June 14, 2025, and holds a 21-4 record with UFC welterweight records including a 15-bout winning streak and 97.3% takedown defense.
- SportsLine expert Kyle Marley, who is up over $21,000 on UFC picks since May 2018, is backing Dione Barbosa (-625) to submit UFC debutant Anna Crutchfield (+330) on the preliminary card, citing Barbosa's grappling edge.
- The five-bout main card also features Jared Cannonier (+285) vs. Christian LeRoy Duncan (-360), Chase Hooper (-380) vs. Mitch Ramirez (+300), Tabatha Ricci (+370) vs. Fatima Kline (-485), and Tommy McMillen (-166) vs. Alberto Montes (+140).
Why it matters: Bettors weighing du Plessis vs. Usman face a wide price gap: risking $230 on the favorite returns just $100, while a $100 Usman wager at +190 returns $190. Given Usman's UFC welterweight records (15-bout streak, 97.3% takedown defense) and a recent rebound win over Buckley, the +190 price implies less confidence in the former champion than his résumé would suggest.
