UFC 329 odds, props, predictions, fight card: McGregor vs. Holloway 2 picks, bets by proven MMA insider
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- UFC 329 takes place Saturday at T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas, with the main card starting at 9 p.m. ET exclusively on Paramount+, marking McGregor's first fight since January 2020.
- Max Holloway (34, 27-9) is a -225 favorite despite making his welterweight debut, holding a two-inch height advantage but giving up five inches in reach to McGregor, who is priced at +185.
- Conor McGregor (37, 22-6) owns a 1-3 UFC record since November 2016, with both losses coming via knockout to Dustin Poirier, though he defeated Holloway by decision in August 2013 at featherweight.
- Gable Stevenson, an Olympic gold medalist in freestyle wrestling and two-time NCAA champion, makes his UFC debut on the preliminary card as a massive -1800 favorite over Elisha Ellison.
- SportsLine expert Daniel Vithlani is up over $1,500 on UFC main-card picks since January 2023 and is backing Damian Pinas (-258) over Cesar Almeida (+210) on the early prelims, citing Pinas's 5.5-inch reach advantage and five-fight KO streak.
- Holloway held the UFC Featherweight Championship from 2016-19 and owns division records for most knockouts (four) and most finishes (four), while McGregor holds the record for fastest title-fight finish after knocking out Jose Aldo in 13 seconds in 2015.
Why it matters: McGregor has just one UFC win since November 2016 and hasn't fought in five years, making him a +185 underdog in his comeback bout — a striking shift for a fighter once known for setting pay-per-view records. Holloway, meanwhile, jumps up a weight class and is still the favorite at -225, meaning the market views the layoff and recent form as more damaging than the size mismatch. Saturday's result will recalibrate expectations for both men's title trajectories.
