UFC 329 odds, lines, predictions, time: Conor McGregor vs. Max Holloway picks by elite MMA expert
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- UFC 329 takes place Saturday at T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas, with the five-bout main card streaming on Paramount+ starting at approximately 9 p.m. ET
- Max Holloway is listed as a -298 favorite over Conor McGregor (+240) in the main event at DraftKings, with an over/under of 2.5 rounds and the fight going the distance priced at +350
- McGregor (37), the first UFC fighter to hold championships in two weight classes simultaneously, enters on a 1-of-4 stretch, most recently a TKO loss to Dustin Poirier at UFC 264 on July 10, 2021
- Holloway (34), a former symbolic "BMF" titleholder, has lost two of his last three fights, including a unanimous decision defeat to Charles Oliveira at UFC 326 this past March
- SportsLine expert Kyle Marley, who has returned over $21,000 on UFC picks since May 2018, is backing Tracy Cortez (+102) to upset Cong Wang (-122) via unanimous decision on the prelim card
- The main card also features Benoit Saint-Denis (-148) vs. Paddy Pimblett (+124), Cory Sandhagen (-142) vs. Mario Bautista (+120), Brandon Royval (+180) vs. Lone'er Kavanagh (-218), and King Green (-112) vs. Terrance McKinney (-108)
Why it matters: Holloway at -298 implies roughly a 75% implied probability of winning, so backers of McGregor at +240 need a decisive upset — notable because McGregor's last UFC victory predates his July 2021 TKO loss to Poirier, a roughly five-year gap inside the Octagon that the odds and the public still appear to be pricing in separately from the on-paper records.
