Fed's Williams: Another Rate Hike This Year 'Reasonable' — SkimNews
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- John Williams, New York Federal Reserve President and FOMC vice-chair, said it was "reasonable to think" the central bank might need to raise rates again before year's end to contain inflation risks.
- The Federal Reserve, under new Chairman Kevin Warsh, raised its policy rate to the 3.75%-4.00% range last week, with 16 of 18 policymakers signaling at least one more hike before end of 2026.
- Williams characterized September's rate move as triggered by a "build-up of pressures rather than a sudden change in data" and flagged "high levels of uncertainty" around the economic outlook.
- Futures markets are pricing strong odds of an additional rate increase at the Fed's October policy meeting, with another move also expected in December.
- Fed officials now project inflation will not return to the 2% target until 2029, with Williams calling the return to 2% "absolutely essential" and needing to happen "in a timely manner."
- Williams noted the U.S. and global economies had proven resilient to the energy-price shock from the Iran war, though he called inflation the "big challenge" for policymakers balancing growth and price risks.
Why it matters: Borrowers and equity markets now face a rate-hike cycle the Fed itself doesn't expect to resolve for years — officials project inflation won't hit the 2% target until 2029, and futures are pricing moves at both the October and December meetings, meaning higher borrowing costs extend well beyond what many market participants had penciled in.
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