Spain Favored Over Argentina in 2026 World Cup Final
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- Spain is the -152 favorite at FanDuel to win the 2026 World Cup after defeating France 2-0 in the semifinal (Oyarzabal penalty, Porro goal), extending its unbeaten streak to 37 straight matches to tie Italy's international record.
- Argentina sits at +130 as the defending champion, having stunned England 2-1 in the semifinal with two late goals (Fernandez at 85', Martinez in stoppage time), both assisted by Lionel Messi, who moved past Mbappe on the Golden Boot tiebreaker.
- The 2026 World Cup final is set for Sunday, July 19 at 3 p.m. ET at MetLife Stadium in East Rutherford, N.J., with Argentina seeking to become the first back-to-back champion since Brazil in 1962.
- Lionel Messi is the -200 Golden Boot favorite and the heavy Golden Ball pick chasing an unprecedented third such award after assisting both Argentina semifinal goals against England; Spain's Rodri is his closest challenger.
- Unai Simon of Spain is the runaway Golden Glove favorite after posting his sixth clean sheet of the tournament against France, a single-World Cup record, while Argentina's Emiliano Martinez is back in the final despite a leakier knockout run.
- Lamine Yamal, 19, is the likely FIFA Young Player Award winner after winning the penalty that Mikel Oyarzabal converted to open Spain's semifinal win over France.
Why it matters: With Spain favored over Argentina in Sunday's final, FanDuel is pricing La Roja's 37-match unbeaten streak and record-setting goalkeeping as worth a roughly 60% implied win probability (-152) against a defending champion chasing history. Messi's two-assist semifinal cemented his grip on the Golden Boot and Golden Ball races while shifting individual-award odds decisively his way.
