JPMorgan projects Bitcoin 16.6% annual return — SkimNews
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- JPMorgan projects Bitcoin’s annualized return at 16.6% in its bull case over the next decade, positioning it as the top-performing asset class ahead of U.S. stocks and gold
- JPMorgan estimates Bitcoin’s bear-case scenario at an annualized loss of 11.2%, factoring in supply growth relative to money supply and adoption trends
- JPMorgan framed Bitcoin as a potential complement to gold in portfolios, citing network adoption and scarcity dynamics in its long-term capital markets assumptions
- Bitwise projects Bitcoin could reach $1.3 million by 2035, with a base-case annualized return of 28.3%, exceeding JPMorgan’s bull-case forecast
- Matt Hougan, Bitwise Chief Investment Officer, welcomed JPMorgan’s inclusion of Bitcoin in its long-term outlook, calling it a milestone in institutional recognition
Why it matters: JPMorgan’s inclusion of Bitcoin in its long-term capital markets assumptions—previously reserved for traditional assets—gives institutional investors a framework to allocate, potentially accelerating mainstream adoption. The 16.6% projected annual return, while speculative, provides a benchmark that could influence asset allocation models, especially as it positions BTC alongside gold.
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