2026 Fantasy Rankings From Model That Called Daniel Jones
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- SportsLine's model ran 10,000 simulations of the 2026 NFL season to produce PPR and non-PPR rankings, leaning on a track record that included pegging Daniel Jones as a top-15 Fantasy QB entering 2025 before his Week 14 injury dropped him to QB17 on the year.
- Jahmyr Gibbs, Bijan Robinson, Ja'Marr Chase, Puka Nacua, and Jonathan Taylor lead consensus ADP at average draft positions 1.33 through 5.52, with Josh Allen the lone first-round quarterback at pick No. 22 in a tier of his own.
- Colts wide receiver Alec Pierce is the model's top sleeper despite an ADP of around No. 70, ranked above Justin Jefferson and Malik Nabers off a 47-1003-6 line and a four-year, $114 million extension; Pierce is currently rehabbing an ankle injury at camp.
- Giants quarterback Jaxson Dart is flagged as a breakout at pick No. 94, ranked ahead of Patrick Mahomes, Matthew Stafford and Justin Herbert, with a supporting cast upgrade and Malik Nabers returning from an ACL tear fueling the projection.
- Chiefs running back Kenneth Walker III is labeled a bust at pick No. 22 — up two ADP slots in recent days — because Andy Reid's pass-first offense hasn't produced a 1,000-yard Kansas City back since 2017, and Walker has missed at least one game in three straight seasons.
- Travis Kelce is still being drafted inside the top 100 despite a multi-year production slide, while the model is calling an unnamed tight end a top-8 option ahead of Kelce and Sam LaPorta — the full list gated behind a SportsLine membership.
Why it matters: With consensus ADP pinning Gibbs, Robinson and Chase in the top five, the 10,000-simulation model draws two sharp lines: Jaxson Dart ahead of Patrick Mahomes at pick No. 94, and Kenneth Walker III a bust at pick No. 22. Drafters who shrug off both signals are effectively betting against one of the few season-long projection tools with a published track record on record.
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