Anthropic IPO faces headwinds as tech cash flow turns negative — SkimNews

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- Anthropic disclosed a $80 billion net loss for the first half of the year and hundreds of billions in compute commitments in its IPO prospectus, raising concerns about its path to profitability.
- Microsoft, Google, and Amazon all reported capex forecasts below analyst expectations, with Microsoft cutting its annual forecast to $170 billion and Amazon and Alphabet maintaining high but unchanged spending guidance.
- Amazon recorded $42.4 billion in negative free cash flow over the trailing 12 months, while Google reported $9.1 billion in negative free cash flow, contributing to a 13% single-day stock drop.
- Microsoft announced a $25 billion bond issuance to fund AI infrastructure, signaling a shift from relying on internal cash flow to external financing for its AI expansion.
- Nvidia and the broader semiconductor sector declined after Intel issued a weak forecast, dragging down the Nasdaq Composite, which posted its first three-week losing streak since March.
- Daniel Newman of Futurum Group noted that hyperscaler earnings have created a new market headwind, increasing doubt about the capital structure underpinning the AI buildout.
- Jonathan Krinsky at BTIG described the tech earnings season as 'The Techsas Chainsaw Massacre,' highlighting widespread weakness across cloud and infrastructure spending.
Why it matters: Investor confidence in the AI-driven cloud expansion is weakening as even the largest tech firms show strain from sustained capital outlays, with Amazon and Google burning cash and Microsoft turning to debt—making Anthropic’s $80 billion loss and reliance on these same partners a far riskier bet in today’s market.
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