Trump says in ‘final throes’ of peace deal but at least 8 killed in Lebanon
Get the Geopolitics newsletter
Daily geopolitics — wars, elections, sanctions, the diplomatic moves that move markets. Free.
- Trump declared he is in the "final throes" of an Iran peace deal, telling reporters the Strait of Hormuz would open "immediately upon signing" — a timeline he pegged at two to three days.
- Israeli forces killed at least 8 people in Tyre and issued a citywide forced displacement order that, for the first time, includes the Christian quarter sheltering many of the displaced.
- Trump privately warned Netanyahu he would be "on your own very soon" if attacks continue, per Axios, after Israel struck Iranian air defense systems and a petrochemical plant and Iran retaliated against a Haifa facility and two Israeli airbases.
- Iran's Foreign Ministry has conditioned any deal on an end to Israeli attacks on Lebanon, warning that continued aggression will be met with "more severe and crushing measures."
- Israeli Defence Minister Israel Katz said forces will continue fighting Hezbollah and attacking Beirut's southern suburbs despite both sides claiming a broader halt to strikes on Monday.
- The Lebanese Ministry of Health reported 3,666 deaths and 11,321 injuries since March 2, with nearly 3,500 air attacks, 407 demolitions, and 6 village-flattening operations since an April 16 "ceasefire."
Why it matters: Trump announced a peace deal hours after Israel killed 8 in Tyre, but Iran has conditioned any agreement on ending Israeli attacks on Lebanon, which Defence Minister Katz says will continue. With 3,666 Lebanese dead since March 2 and Iran's threat of "more severe and crushing measures," Netanyahu's stated right to self-defence directly contradicts the precondition Tehran has set for the deal.
