SportsLine Model's 2026 Fantasy Breakouts: Hampton, Willis
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- SportsLine's model simulated the 2026 NFL season 10,000 times to produce fantasy rankings, sleepers and busts, and correctly predicted Panthers WR Tetairoa McMillan as a 2025 breakout (70 catches, 1,014 yards, 7 TDs, OROY, WR17 finish) despite a WR28 ADP.
- Omarion Hampton (Chargers RB, ADP No. 20) is the model's top breakout call after a rookie season shortened to nine games (737 scrimmage yards, 5 TDs, RB35 finish), with the model ranking him ahead of Kyren Williams and Javonte Williams.
- Hampton's outlook is boosted by the returns of Pro Bowl tackles Joe Alt and Rashawn Slater (combined for just six games in 2025) plus new center Tyler Biadasz, giving him one of the NFL's best offensive lines.
- Malik Willis (Dolphins, ADP No. 151) is another breakout pick after signing a three-year, $67.5 million deal, with the model ranking him above Sam Darnold, Kyler Murray and Bo Nix on the strength of his rushing floor.
- An unnamed young tight end is ranked as a top-8 fantasy option by the model ahead of Travis Kelce and George Kittle, though his identity is gated behind SportsLine's paywall.
- Top 2026 PPR ADPs open with Jahmyr Gibbs (1.24), Bijan Robinson (1.94) and Ja'Marr Chase (4.01), followed by Puka Nacua and Jonathan Taylor rounding out the top five.
Why it matters: Fantasy players drafting in the next two weeks face a clear ADP-value gap: Hampton is going at No. 20 after an injury-shortened RB35 finish, while Willis sits at No. 151 despite a $67.5M Dolphins deal — and the model's track record (McMillan's OROY, A.J. Brown 2020, Jonathan Taylor 2021) gives those calls more weight than typical preseason hype.
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