Trump Postwar Plan: Iran Alliance, New Abraham Accords — SkimNews
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- Axios reported the Trump administration is crafting a postwar plan to form a US-backed regional alliance to contain Iran, with the US serving as guarantor, and to expand the Abraham Accords.
- Trump has privately told people he's working on "something much bigger" for the Middle East after the war; the proposal won't be rolled out until after Israel's October 27 election and the November 3 US midterms.
- The plan would push implementation of the Board of Peace's stalled Hamas disarmament plan in Gaza, a security agreement between Israel and Syria, and further work on the US-brokered Israel-Lebanon framework, likely requiring Israel to withdraw from buffer zones.
- The Abraham Accords expansion envisions an Israel-Saudi normalization deal, but Riyadh insists on an irreversible path to Palestinian statehood — a condition Netanyahu and his rivals have ruled out completely.
- Trump called the Iran conflict "small potatoes" and defended Vice President JD Vance's refusal to call it a war, noting 18 US service members have been killed and more than $37.5 billion spent in the six-month-old conflict.
- The New York Times reported Friday that US intelligence suggests Iran feels increasingly emboldened and may be preparing a significant escalation, complicating any deal to formally end the war.
Why it matters: The plan attempts to stitch together Gaza disarmament, Israel-Syria and Israel-Lebanon agreements, and Saudi normalization into one postwar architecture — but the Saudi deal's Palestinian statehood precondition collides directly with Netanyahu's stated red line, making the most consequential element the hardest deliverable on the agenda.
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