Solana Tests 50-Day Support as Death Cross Caps Rally — SkimNews

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- Solana trades at $75.06 (down 1.22%, $43 billion market cap), holding just above its 50-day exponential moving average after a roughly 17% pullback from a spike near $90.
- The daily chart shows a death cross formation, with the 200-day EMA near $85 rejected as resistance — framing the recent bounce as a lower-high rejection off a major average rather than a trend reset.
- Myriad prediction-market traders price a drop to $40 at 69% versus a rally to $160 at 31%, with RSI at 50.5 (neutral) and ADX at 11.9 (directionless/choppy).
- The Alpenglow consensus upgrade is in community validator testing and targeted for mainnet activation in August, aiming to cut finality to 100–150 milliseconds.
- The SGP-0003 tokenomics proposal would lift daily SOL burns from roughly 650 to 7,500–9,000 SOL via resource-based fees (SIMD-0553) and double the annual disinflation rate to 30%, pulling the 1.5% inflation floor forward from 2032 to 2029 (SIMD-0550), backed by Helius, Jupiter, Drift, and Solana Compass.
- Bitcoin is trapped between $62,000 support and $67,000 resistance while Ethereum has pulled back to the $1,825–$1,850 zone, capping how far any altcoin bounce can run.
Why it matters: The supply-side tokenomics proposal could meaningfully tighten SOL's emission schedule if validators approve, but the daily chart's death cross keeps the path of least resistance down until SOL reclaims the 200-day EMA near $85 — and a 69% prediction-market lean toward $40 shows traders aren't betting on that flip.
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