Israel's October Vote: Domestic Issues Eclipse Gaza War

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- Israel's October 27 elections will be dominated by domestic issues rather than Gaza, according to analysts Daniel Bar-Tal, Yehouda Shenhav-Shahrabani, and Crisis Group's Mairav Zonszein, who told Al Jazeera that all parties are deliberately avoiding the Palestinian issue
- Prime Minister Netanyahu has used the wars since October 7 to argue against an inquiry into the attack and to defer his corruption trials, becoming the focal point of an opposition that functions as an 'Anti-Netanyahu bloc' even though it is 'often almost as right wing' as Likud
- The 2023 judicial overhaul and Netanyahu's placement of loyalists to oversee the civil service, army, Shin Bet, and Mossad are viewed as an assault on democratic institutions, with the opposition calling this vote 'the last chance to save Israeli democracy'
- Haredi conscription has become one of the most combustible fault lines, with thousands of ultra-Orthodox men blocking Jerusalem roads in June to protest conscription; leaked audio allegedly shows Democrats chairman Yair Golan calling Haredim 'parasites' who 'live off the rest of Israeli society'
- Palestinian citizens of Israel face total political exclusion, with every mainstream Jewish party ruling out coalition with Arab parties — Finance Minister Bezalel Smotrich labeled such a prospect 'worse' than the October 7 attack — while 158 Palestinian citizens of Israel have been murdered this year
- The two-state solution has been 'completely sidelined' per Zonszein, with a new consensus that post-October 7, 'a state is off the table and now is not the time for it,' ending what had been a defining fault line in past elections
Why it matters: With every mainstream Jewish party ruling out Arab coalition partners and 158 Palestinian citizens of Israel murdered this year, the October 27 vote will produce a government structurally incapable of addressing Palestinian political representation or violence regardless of which bloc wins. The election's framing as a fight to 'save Israeli democracy' is defined exclusively by Jewish-Israeli concerns, leaving Gaza's 73,387 dead and excluded Palestinian citizens without electoral leverage.
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