Dodgers vs. Red Sox prediction, odds, time: 2026 MLB picks for 'Sunday Night Baseball' by proven model
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- Los Angeles Dodgers (69-42) made a blockbuster trade to acquire Tarik Skubal early Sunday morning, with his debut slated for next week
- Boston Red Sox (59-51) carry a 22-4 record since the start of July and lead this series 2-0 heading into Sunday night at Dodger Stadium
- Jake Bennett (6-4, 2.74 ERA) starts for Boston against Emmet Sheehan (4-7, 4.95 ERA) for Los Angeles; first pitch is 7:20 p.m. ET
- The betting line lists the Dodgers as -165 favorites with Boston at +141 and the over/under at 9 total runs
- SportsLine's model projects the Under after 10,000 simulations, with the teams combining for 8.5 runs and neither clearing five
- The model projects Bennett allows just 2.4 earned runs through six innings; eight of his 11 starts have already gone Under, and the Red Sox have gone Under in seven of their past eight games
- SportsLine's model enters Week 19 on a 39-23 run on top-rated MLB picks after returning nearly 30 units on home run props in 2025
Why it matters: Boston's 22-4 July surge and 2-0 series lead have positioned the Red Sox to sweep the 69-42 Dodgers, yet oddsmakers still list Los Angeles as a -165 favorite — a 165-cent price tag that prices in the Skubal-fueled Dodgers roster boost but underweights Boston's dominant pitching matchup advantage (2.74 ERA vs. 4.95 ERA).
