Hume: GOP Would Lose House, Senate in Midterms
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- Brit Hume, Fox News's chief political analyst, said Wednesday that Republicans would 'lose big' if midterms were held today, predicting the House would be 'obviously gone' and there's 'a good chance' the Senate would follow.
- Hume said a favorable end to the Iran war could give Republicans 'a lot to run on,' but warned that an outcome 'unconvincing to people that it was worth it' means 'woe be unto the Republicans.'
- The national average gas price sits at $4.30 per gallon, with California averaging roughly $6 and Hawaii, Nevada, Oregon, and Washington all topping $5, per AAA.
- Brent crude oil hit a four-year high as the Strait of Hormuz is closed to commercial traffic and US-Iran negotiations remain stalled.
- Republicans defend a five-seat House majority and a six-seat Senate majority, with multiple GOP retirements and deaths this cycle thinning their bench further.
- The Cook Political Report shifted five House races and four Senate races toward Democrats this month alone.
Why it matters: Hume's warning lands as Republicans defend paper-thin five- and six-seat majorities in the House and Senate, with a $4.30 national gas average and a four-year Brent crude high amplifying voter pain from the Iran war. Cook Political Report has already moved nine races toward Democrats this month, meaning the nonpartisan handicappers are tracking the House-loss scenario Hume is now openly describing on Fox.
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