NFL odds: Week 4 parlays featuring favorites, underdogs include Rams vs. Eagles, Falcons vs. Saints — SkimNews
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- Rams are "too talented to drop to 1-3" per Tierney, with Matthew Stafford playing well and Puka Nacua due back from injury; the Eagles have failed to cover this season and face an abbreviated prep week.
- Packers draw the favorite nod over the Buccaneers despite Green Bay's struggles, because Tampa Bay starts undrafted rookie QB Jalon Daniels after Baker Mayfield's injury and ranks 27th in offense.
- Bills have outscored the Patriots by 72 points through three games, and Drake Maye's passer rating sits last in the NFL with questions about his banged-up shoulder and rapport with coach Mike Vrabel.
- Commanders are picked as underdogs over the Colts as veteran backup Marcus Mariota delivered 33 points against Seattle, facing Indianapolis with Jonathan Taylor yet to rush for 100 yards against the NFL's third-rated rush defense.
- Raiders headline the underdog side, returning home after road wins by 12 and 8 points with the league's best turnover differential (plus-five) and a fourth-ranked pass rush against a banged-up Chiefs line, with Brock Bowers back from injury.
- Falcons are picked over the Saints as Michael Penix Jr.'s season debut revived Atlanta's offense, Bijan Robinson ranks second among NFL rushers, and New Orleans has yielded eight aerial touchdowns; Tierney flags the Commanders-Colts game as an overseas contest.
Why it matters: Tierney's Week 4 picks rest on the season's starkest QB mismatches: undrafted rookie Jalon Daniels starts for Tampa Bay, Drake Maye ranks last in passer rating with a banged-up shoulder, and Marcus Mariota delivered 33 points as Washington's backup. His 130-101 ATS record at 56.3% over the past two seasons gives bettors a profitable-but-not-elite track record to weigh against the four bonus offers ($1,500 BetMGM, $250 FanDuel, $150 DraftKings, $55 Kalshi) attached to the article.
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