'Thursday Night Football' prediction, odds, spread, time: Falcons-Packers picks from expert on a 48-20 roll — SkimNews

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- Michael Penix Jr. is expected to start at quarterback for Atlanta after tearing his ACL in his left knee last November against the Panthers, having completed 60.1% of his passes for 1,982 yards and nine touchdowns with three interceptions in nine games last season.
- Jayden Reed will sit out for Green Bay after being carted off with a back injury during the Packers' 20-17 overtime win over the Jets on Sunday.
- Jordan Love is playing through a hand injury and has completed just 52.1% of his passes for 532 yards, four touchdowns and one interception across two games this season.
- Christian Watson leads Green Bay's receiving corps with 10 catches for 188 yards and three touchdowns, including an 81-yard score.
- The spread opened at Packers (-6.5) but has dropped two points to Green Bay -4.5, with the over/under sitting at 43; the Under has hit in four of Atlanta's last five games and is a combined 3-1 for both teams this season.
- R.J. White of CBS Sports is leaning Under 44.5 for the total and enters Thursday on a 48-20-1 roll on picks involving the Packers, having returned $2,429 to $100 players over his last 69 Green Bay selections.
- Atlanta has yet to reach the red zone through its first two games, described by the source as 'a big disappointment so far this year.'
Why it matters: With both teams winless against the spread and Atlanta's offense stuck outside the red zone, the betting market has already adjusted the line two full points off the opener — a clear signal of sharp money fading the Falcons despite Penix's return. For Green Bay, hosting its home opener without Reed against a struggling offense gives Love a chance to stabilize his 52.1% completion rate.
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