IMF Bangkok Meetings: Debt, AI Replace China as Top Risks — SkimNews

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- Kristalina Georgieva warned that strong growth alone won't put the U.S. on a sustainable fiscal path with federal debt above $40 trillion — a warning that Treasury Counselor David Zervos publicly dismissed, telling reporters to take IMF forecasts "with a grain of salt."
- The Group of Seven announced €260 million ($300 million) in funding for infrastructure repairs at Ukraine's Chornobyl nuclear power plant, with plans to scale the commitment to €500 million at a Paris donor conference next month.
- Russian Finance Minister Anton Siluanov attended the G20 finance chiefs' meeting in person for the second time this year, prompting nearly half of IMFC delegates to walk out of the room during his Saturday address in Russian.
- German Finance Minister Lars Klingbeil said Europe's G20 members will not accept Russia's "returning as a normal member," reiterating that Moscow's delegation will not be treated as normal at the table.
- Boston University's Kevin Gallagher said he's watching whether the IMF, the Federal Reserve, and the People's Bank of China can coordinate policy or end up "going in different directions and making things worse," while the IMF flagged AI-related borrowing as widening the gap between AI-supply-chain economies (South Korea, Japan, China) and the rest.
- Chinese central bank Governor Pan Gongsheng told the IMFC that Beijing supports stronger Fund monitoring of "major advanced economies' fiscal risks" and urged surplus countries to boost consumption and investment.
- IIF's Tim Adams said U.S.-China relations appear to have reached "some sense of stability," noting China rarely came up in his Bangkok discussions — though investors remain keen on Chinese tech IPOs and Chinese bonds.
Why it matters: Treasury publicly dismissed the IMF's warnings about U.S. debt above $40 trillion, and nearly half of IMFC delegates walked out on Russia's finance minister at the Bangkok meetings. The public fractures come as the IMF itself warns that AI-related borrowing and rising public debt are squeezing governments' room to spend, per the Fund's latest outlook.
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