Cognition in $40B Valuation Talks

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- Cognition is reportedly in talks with investors for a new round that could value the company at $40 billion, based on achieving a $1 billion annualized revenue run rate, per Bloomberg sources.
- The startup raised $1 billion at a $26 billion valuation just in May, meaning the new round would mark a roughly 54% markup in under four months.
- CEO Scott Wu told TechCrunch three months ago that Cognition had hit a $492 million annualized revenue run rate, with enterprise usage of Devin growing 50% month-over-month for six straight months.
- Devin is positioned not as a human-replacement programmer but as an agent handling long-tail tasks like legacy software modernization and platform migrations.
- Cognition's named enterprise customers include Mercedes-Benz, NASA, and Goldman Sachs.
Why it matters: A $40 billion price tag on roughly $492 million in annualized revenue — with the round reportedly conditional on doubling that to $1 billion — shows investors are pricing Cognition for explosive growth rather than current scale. The enterprise customer list (Goldman Sachs, NASA, Mercedes-Benz) signals AI coding agents are graduating from developer novelty to bankable infrastructure, even as the sticker price assumes revenue growth that has not yet materialized.
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