Arkansas 12.5-Point Favorite vs. High Point Saturday
Get the Sports newsletter
Daily sports — scores, transfers, the storylines from the leagues you actually follow. Free.
- Arkansas (27-8) faces No. 12 seed High Point (31-4) as a 12.5-point favorite Saturday at 9:45 p.m. ET from Portland's Moda Center, with the over/under set at 170.5 in the NCAA Tournament second round.
- High Point extended its winning streak to 15 games by erasing an eight-point deficit to upset No. 5 seed Wisconsin in the first round, after sweeping the Big South regular season and tournament titles.
- Arkansas arrives fresh off an SEC Tournament championship and a 97-78 first-round win over Hawaii, having scored 86-plus points in 10 of its last 12 games.
- The SportsLine Projection Model simulated the matchup 10,000 times and projects the teams to combine for 171 points, backing the Over at 170.5 (hits in 56% of simulations).
- Arkansas ranks No. 2 nationally in scoring at 90.1 points per game with the fourth-highest KenPom offensive efficiency, while High Point sits at No. 4 nationally (89.8 PPG) and inside the top 45 in adjusted tempo.
Why it matters: The 12.5-point spread looks steep for a game matching the nation's No. 2 (Arkansas, 90.1 PPG) and No. 4 (High Point, 89.8 PPG) scoring offenses, but the SportsLine model projects 171 combined points — implying a high-tempo shootout that may keep the Panthers within the number while rewarding Over bettors.
