Texas vs. Missouri prediction, odds, time: Week 10 college football picks from proven model — SkimNews
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- Texas Longhorns are seventh-ranked and face No. 18 Missouri Tigers in a possible Week 10 College Football Playoff eliminator; both teams are 6-2, and a third defeat would leave that team with a lot of ground to make up in CFP consideration.
- Texas Longhorns arrived after back-to-back wins over Ole Miss and Mississippi State, while Missouri Tigers came off a 34-10 win at Arkansas.
- Texas Longhorns ruled out running back Hollywood Smothers and offensive tackle Trevor Goosby; edge rusher Colin Simmons and receiver Cam Coleman are questionable. Leading rusher Raleek Brown should be available, while receiver Ryan Wingo is listed as probable.
- Texas Longhorns are 2.5-point favorites over Missouri Tigers, with the over/under set at 42.5 for the noon ET kickoff at Faurot Field in Columbia, Missouri.
- SportsLine's model entered Week 10 on an 80-77 run on top-rated college football picks; after 10,000 simulations, it favored Over 42.5, projected 47 combined points and put the Over at 62%.
- Missouri Tigers' attack is led by QB Austin Simmons (1,952 yards, 16 TD, 2 INT) and 1,000-yard rusher Jamal Roberts, while Arch Manning has 1,727 yards, 15 TD and 7 INT.
- Missouri Tigers allowed at least 31 points in all three of their defeats, whereas Texas Longhorns gave up 27 points in three of their last four games.
Why it matters: Bettors have one fully specified selection: SportsLine's 10,000 simulations put Over 42.5 at 62% and project 47 combined points, against a 2.5-point Texas favorite. No spread side above 60% is identified, so the total—not a named spread winner—is the actionable pick; the key Texas context is the absences of Hollywood Smothers and Trevor Goosby.
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