Florida vs. Missouri prediction, odds, time: Week 5 college football picks by proven model — SkimNews
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- No. 8 Florida Gators are 4-0 (2-0 SEC) under first-year head coach Jon Sumrall and enter as 5.5-point road favorites over No. 25 Missouri, with kickoff set for 3:30 p.m. ET at Memorial Stadium.
- SportsLine's model projects 55 combined points after 10,000 simulations, making the Under 57.5 the value play 54% of the time, while flagging one side of the spread as hitting nearly 60% of the time.
- Florida running back Jadan Baugh has piled up 600 rushing yards and 11 touchdowns on the ground across three FBS games, fueling three straight Gators overs heading into Saturday.
- Missouri has seen its last two games go Under and is coming off a loss to Mississippi State after a 3-0 non-conference start.
- SportsLine's model enters Week 5 on a 32-24 run on all top-rated college football picks, returning nearly $600 for $100 players per the article.
Why it matters: Bettors weighing the 57.5 total get a lean toward the Under: SportsLine's 10,000-run sim projects just 55 combined points, with the Under hitting 54% of the time. The model is also flagging one spread side at nearly 60% confidence, giving wagerers a second data point on a 5.5-point spread in a ranked SEC matchup.
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